Talk:Climate change in Brazil
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Can you speak Portuguese?
I created this by using the Content Translation tool on pt:Impactos do aquecimento global no Brasil with a lot of deletion and tweaks. I cannot speak Portuguese but I suspect a lot of the Portuguese article may be out of date. If you can speak Portuguese it would be great if you could update this draft with more recent citations and information. Don't worry about your English as I can easily copyedit if you need. Chidgk1 (talk) 17:20, 17 January 2021 (UTC)
Following text moved from article as the cites need moving to the right places:
National science data is confirmed by multiple foreign studies, and according to the latest report by the highest authority on the subject, the IPCC, in Brazil there is a consistent rise in temperatures, particularly in the southeast. Other effects observed are the displacement of the monsoon and rain becoming less regular. The prediction is that most regions of the country will become drier, and a few areas are expected to become more humid.[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]
In recent years, the situation in the Amazon has attracted most attention. The region's vast tropical rainforest has suffered intense degradation, having remained largely intact until the 1970s. Deforestation means massive loss of biodiversity and environmental services, and the suppression of biomass generates large amounts of greenhouse gases, contributing to increase the greenhouse effect and worsen the overall picture of the world.[3][2][4][5][8]
There is still a considerable degree of uncertainty about the precise way in which changes in rainfall will manifest locally; the theoretical models that make the projections use different variables in their calculations, trying to cover a wide range of plausible trends, but there is a consensus that important changes with large-scale negative consequences will happen if the warming exceeds 2 ° C. Several consequences, in fact, are already being felt and causing significant damage. Therefore, it is easy to predict that an even more disturbed rainfall regime, with excess water in some regions and scarcity in others, will have an important impact not only on wildlife, but also on food and electricity production, which will trigger a series of other indirect effects on security, health, culture and other sectors, disrupting social peace and undermining the prospects for future growth.[11][12][13][14][15][16][17]
Ruralists and agribusiness representatives defend the free market and a project of unrestricted economic growth. The captains of the rural sector form a large bench in the National Congress and have won a series of influential positions in public administration, including the presidency, ministries, governorships and city halls. Using denialist arguments, these agents have promoted a major setback in environmental policies and programs at all levels, which since the Dilma administration have been suffering severe upheavals. They have also promoted profound legislative reforms to the detriment of the environment and favorable to agribusiness.[18][19][20][21][22][23]
References
- ^ IPCC. Climate Change 2007 - The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. IPCC / MOU / UNEP, 2007.
- ^ a b IPCC. "Summary of expected key future impacts and vulnerabilities", 2007.
- ^ a b Fearnside, Philip. "Amazonia deforestation and global warming: carbon stocks in vegetation replacing Brazil's Amazon forest". In: Forest Ecology and Management, 1996, 80:21-34.
- ^ a b FAO. [Martin, R. M. (coord.)]. State of the World's Forests, 2012.
- ^ a b Cook, Brian; Zeng, Ning; Yoon, Jin-Ho. "Will Amazonia Dry Out? Magnitude and Causes of Change from IPCC Climate Model Projections". In: Earth Interact., 2012; 16(03):1–27.
- ^ Banco Mundial [Margulis, Sergio]. Causas do Desmatamento da Amazônia Brasileira, 2003.
- ^ Grupo de Trabalho do Código Florestal, p. 67.
- ^ a b Sá, Iêdo Bezerra; Riché, Gilles Robert & Fotius, Georges André. "As paisagens e o processo de degradação do semi-árido nordestino". In: Silva, José Maria Cardoso da e t al (orgs.)]. Biodiversidade da caatinga: áreas e ações prioritárias para a conservação. Ministério do Meio Ambiente / Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, 2003, pp. 17–36
- ^ UNEP. Global Environment Outlook 4: environmet for development, 2007.
- ^ The Vital Forest Graphics. Vital Forest Full Report. UNEP/FAO/UNFF, 2009.
- ^ Kahn, Suzana. "IPCC, cada vez mais certo". PBMC, 2011.
- ^ Kahn, Suzana. "Painel Brasileiro de Mudança Climática – Instrumento de Ciência e Política Pública". PBMC, 2011.
- ^ Painel Brasileiro de Mudanças Climáticas. Sumário Executivo do Volume 1 - Base Científica das Mudanças Climáticas. Contribuição do Grupo de Trabalho 1 para o 1º Relatório de Avaliação Nacional do Painel Brasileiro de Mudanças Climáticas [Ambrizzi, T., Araújo, M., Silva Dias, P.L., Wainer, I., Artaxo, P., Marengo, J.A., 2012.
- ^ Marcovitch, Jacques (coord.); Margulis, Sergio & Dubeux, Carolina Burle Schmidt (eds.) Economia da Mudança do Clima no Brasil: Custos e Oportunidades. IBEP Gráfica, 2010, pp. 6-8.
- ^ Carvalho, Eduardo. "Relatório diz que mudança do clima pode afetar alimento e energia no país". O Globo, 08/09/2013.
- ^ Alisson, Elton. "Mudanças no clima do Brasil até 2100". Agência FAPESP, 10/09/2013.
- ^ Motta, Claudia. "Gelo no Ártico pode diminuir 94% e o nível do mar subiria 82 cm até 2100". O Globo, 27/09/2013.
- ^ Marcondes, Dal. "O clima conforme a mídia". Carta Capital, 15/11/2011
- ^ Trigueiro, André. "E o verde, como fica?" Revista Ecológico, 03/02/2015
- ^ "Discurso de 'Trump' brasileiro causou reação de ambientalistas na COP22". Amazônia Real, 21/11/2016
- ^ Observatório do Clima. "Nenhum hectare a menos!" In: Rio 21, 2017; 27 (245):12-13
- ^ "O negacionismo pueril contra as evidências científicas é a nova trincheira da guerra cultural no Brasil". Ecodebate, 06/04/2017
- ^ Peres, João. "De olho na eleição, ruralistas criticam políticas contra o aquecimento global". Rede Brasil Atual, 31/03/2010
Criticism of Rouseff government
I moved the following sentence from the article to here:
But even so, the national picture shows signs of worsening in many sectors, [1] [2] and Dilma Rousseff's government was severely criticized for developing an ambiguous, unlawful and backward social policy in many other respects, with losses not compensated by gains, complicated by bureaucracy, corruption and administrative incompetence, conflicting sectoral policies, contradictory legislation, and an emphasis on megaprojects that drain vast public resources but have dubious efficiency. [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13]
because I am unable to allocate the cites to each individual point. Because the criticism is so serious I think that each point needs to be cited individually as affecting deforestation or agriculture (as they are main causes of climate change in the country). If you know Portuguese perhaps you can put the cites in the right places and put the sentence back in the article if it deserves to be there. Chidgk1 (talk) 06:12, 18 January 2021 (UTC)
References
- ^ Painel Brasileiro de Mudanças Climáticas. Sumário Executivo do Volume 1 - Base Científica das Mudanças Climáticas. Contribuição do Grupo de Trabalho 1 para o 1º Relatório de Avaliação Nacional do Painel Brasileiro de Mudanças Climáticas [Ambrizzi, T., Araújo, M., Silva Dias, P.L., Wainer, I., Artaxo, P., Marengo, J.A., 2012.
- ^ Bustamante, Mercedes. "Status de Elaboração do Primeiro Relatório Nacional Sobre Mudanças Climáticas: Status do Volume 3". Grupo de Trabalho 3: Mitigação das Mudanças Climáticas. PBMC, 16/04/2013.
- ^ Bacha, Carlos José Caetano. "O uso de recursos florestais e as políticas econômicas brasileiras - uma visão histórica e parcial de um processo de desenvolvimento". In: Estudos Econômicos, 2004; 34 (2):393-426
- ^ Mesquita, Benjamin Alvino de. "Demanda por alimentos e as conseqüências na Amazônia brasileira: 'sucesso' do agronegócio e tragédia do desmatamento". In: 12ª Encuentro de Geógrafos de América Latina. Montevidéu, Uruguay, 2009
- ^ "Cientistas denunciam graves retrocessos no Código Florestal". Carta Maior, 09/10/2012.
- ^ "Para ambientalistas, política socioambiental de Dilma é a pior desde 1988". Radioagência NP, 05/06/2013.
- ^ Damasceno, Marcio. "Desmatamento e código florestal fazem Brasil despencar em ranking do clima". Deutsche Welle, 03/12/2012.
- ^ Ramos, Adriana e Lima, André. "Obras de infra-estrutura não garantem desenvolvimento do País". Instituto Socioambiental.
- ^ Conselho Indigenista Missionário. "Nota do Cimi: O Governo Dilma, o agronegócio e os Povos Indígenas", 05/06/2013.
- ^ Albuquerque, Flávia. "Plano ABC precisa de ajustes para ajudar a reduzir emissões de gases de efeito estufa, diz estudo". Agência Brasil, 09/09/2013.
- ^ Nitahara, Akemi. "Aprovada há três anos, a implantação da Política Nacional de Resíduos Sólidos está lenta". Agência Brasil,
- ^ Motta, Sergio Barreto. "Índios e MST opõem Dilma ao agronegócio". Monitor Mercantil, 06/06/2013
- ^ Mendonça, Ricardo. "Governo rifa os direitos indígenas, diz antropóloga Manuela Carneiro da Cunha". Folha/UOL, 14/07/2013.
Did you know nomination
- The following is an archived discussion of the DYK nomination of the article below. Please do not modify this page. Subsequent comments should be made on the appropriate discussion page (such as this nomination's talk page, the article's talk page or Wikipedia talk:Did you know), unless there is consensus to re-open the discussion at this page. No further edits should be made to this page.
The result was: promoted by SL93 (talk) 18:01, 3 February 2021 (UTC)
- ... that climate change in Brazil (pictured) can be fixed? (this would have the fire pic) Source: "You are strongly encouraged to quote the source text supporting each hook" (and [link] the source, or cite it briefly without using citation templates)
- ALT1:... that there are other causes of climate change in Brazil (pictured)? (this would have the cow pic) Source: "You are strongly encouraged to quote the source text supporting each hook" (and [link] the source, or cite it briefly without using citation templates)
- ALT2:... that Jair Bolsonaro says that foreigners should stop beefing about climate change in Brazil (pictured)? (cow pic obviously)Source: "Bolsonaro ....... reacted with fury to the world’s condemnation of his handling of the fires and initially slapped down many of its offers of help." [1] "the president has used international criticism to mobilise supporters, projecting himself as a patriot defending Brazil against neocolonialist foreigners who seek to undermine Brazilian sovereignty in the Amazon." [2] 'Bolsonaro accused foreigners of a “brutal disinformation campaign”' [3]
- ALT3:... that fire is both a cause and a risk of climate change in Brazil (pictured)? (fire pic obviously) Source: "You are strongly encouraged to quote the source text supporting each hook" (and [link] the source, or cite it briefly without using citation templates)
- ALT4:... that as well as deforestation of the Amazon rainforest there are other causes of climate change in Brazil (pictured)? Source: "new farmers are moving in [to the Pantanal], often with little understanding of how to use fire properly" " local farmers ... increase the size of their herds" [4]
- Reviewed: Phyllodoce lineata
- Comment: A major author of the Portuguese article from which part of this was translated was https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usu%C3%A1rio(a):Tetraktys Although I mentioned the above reviewed article for another DYK in fact that did not need a QPQ as I had miscounted. Image and cites to be added according to which hook(s) the reviewer likes.
Created by Chidgk1 (talk). Self-nominated at 07:08, 23 January 2021 (UTC).
- @Chidgk1: This interesting article is new enough and long enough. The images are suitably licensed, the article is neutral and I detected no copyright issues. Some of the hooks have inline citations, but others do not. For example, the "beefing" comment, which would make a good hook, is not even mentioned in the article. You will need to deal with the tags that are present in the article, and I agree with the tagger, that there appear to be excess citations in some places. A QPQ has been done. Cwmhiraeth (talk) 07:09, 30 January 2021 (UTC)
- @Cwmhiraeth: I tagged the excess cites myself because I don't have Portuguese so cannot fix. I thought if we leave the tags in for DYK someone might see them and fix them (although it seems they don't show up on mobile anyway), but if you prefer I can move the text with the problem to the talk page.
- @Chidgk1: According to DYK rules, the tags need to be removed before this DYK can go ahead. As you put them there, you can remove them, and discuss the sourcing on the talk page if you wish. Cwmhiraeth (talk) 09:51, 1 February 2021 (UTC)
- @Cwmhiraeth: Done and added the president's views to the politics section for ALT2, but if you prefer a different ALT let me know and I will cite it. Chidgk1 (talk) 13:53, 1 February 2021 (UTC)
- @Chidgk1: According to DYK rules, the tags need to be removed before this DYK can go ahead. As you put them there, you can remove them, and discuss the sourcing on the talk page if you wish. Cwmhiraeth (talk) 09:51, 1 February 2021 (UTC)
- Thank you. Approving ALT2 and ALT4. Cwmhiraeth (talk) 20:04, 1 February 2021 (UTC)
- @Cwmhiraeth: I tagged the excess cites myself because I don't have Portuguese so cannot fix. I thought if we leave the tags in for DYK someone might see them and fix them (although it seems they don't show up on mobile anyway), but if you prefer I can move the text with the problem to the talk page.
- Thanks yes maybe ALT4 is better as non-native English speakers likely would not get the beef pun. Busy with something else at the moment but hope to come back shortly to cite ALT4 and move cow pic to the right place for DYK. Chidgk1 (talk) 06:25, 2 February 2021 (UTC)
- Done - if there is anything else needed please let me know Chidgk1 (talk) 14:20, 2 February 2021 (UTC)
- There are two citation needed tags. SL93 (talk) 02:40, 3 February 2021 (UTC)
- Removed those uncited sentences. Chidgk1 (talk) 06:45, 3 February 2021 (UTC)
- Thanks. SL93 (talk) 18:00, 3 February 2021 (UTC)
- Removed those uncited sentences. Chidgk1 (talk) 06:45, 3 February 2021 (UTC)
- There are two citation needed tags. SL93 (talk) 02:40, 3 February 2021 (UTC)
- Done - if there is anything else needed please let me know Chidgk1 (talk) 14:20, 2 February 2021 (UTC)
Further improving the article
Thanks for setting up this article in English, User:Chidgk1 ! My suggestion would be to change the headings and structure of this article to be in line with the template that has been proposed here for all articles of the nature "Climate change in Country X": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:WikiProject_Climate_change/Style_guide (see also discussion on that page's talk page). Anyone has any objections? @User:PlanetCare, @User:Chipmunkdavis. EMsmile (talk) 02:00, 1 February 2021 (UTC)
- You are right the structure needs improving. I have no objections if anyone else makes it standard or improves it in any other way - I just don't want to spend time doing it myself Chidgk1 (talk) 06:17, 2 February 2021 (UTC)
- I'll put it on my to do list. I like this kind of restructuring work. If someone else beats me to it: all the better! I am hoping that once more articles follow a standard structure then future articles about "climate change in country X" will automatically be more likely to be structured similarly as well. This will make it easier for the readers to read those articles. (WikiProject Medicine did it for all their diseases articles, too - apply a standard structure, I mean). EMsmile (talk) 06:24, 2 February 2021 (UTC)
- I've done the restructuring work now. It was fairly easy initially. But then I noticed that there were two huge chunks of text which talked about findings of a report from 2012 and one from 2015. I have now broken that big chunk of text up a bit by moving paragraphs to the right sub-headings, such as health impacts, economic impacts etc. There are probably more recent reports available than those two which could also be utilised? EMsmile (talk) 02:38, 3 February 2021 (UTC)
- Thanks very much for your improvements - hopefully a lot of people will read them when it is linked from the main page for "do you know". Re further improvements: after the DYK I am thinking of tagging where improvements are needed (apparently there should be no tags such as "citation needed" during DYK) and then removing it from my watchlist and abandoning it to its fate. Of course if any Brazilians are reading this it would also be great if you could improve it before DYK. Chidgk1 (talk) 07:44, 4 February 2021 (UTC)
- Sounds like a good plan. I saw that the article climate change in Kenya got a spike in viewings on the day when it was included in the "do you know" section of the front page. Small improvements that could be made fairly easily: expand the lead so that it's a better summary of the article. And ensure this article is linked to from other relevant pages, like Brazil, Climate of Brazil etc. (linking it from the Brazil article might cause problems again like we had for the Australia article). EMsmile (talk) 00:22, 5 February 2021 (UTC)
Updating
This article is getting a bit out of date. It would be great if more recent information from 2022 and 2023 could be included. 62.46.207.145 (talk) 06:30, 18 September 2023 (UTC)