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2012 Indiana gubernatorial election

2012 Indiana gubernatorial election

← 2008 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2016 →
 
Nominee Mike Pence John R. Gregg
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Sue Ellspermann Vi Simpson
Popular vote 1,275,424 1,200,016
Percentage 49.49% 46.56%

Pence:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Gregg:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Mitch Daniels
Republican

Elected Governor

Mike Pence
Republican

The 2012 Indiana gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012. Incumbent governor Mitch Daniels was term-limited and unable to seek a third term. The Republican candidate, Congressman Mike Pence; the Democratic candidate, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives John R. Gregg; and the Libertarian candidate, youth mentor, small business owner and reality TV personality, Rupert Boneham, were all unopposed in their respective primaries or conventions and contested the general election. This is the first open Indiana gubernatorial election since 1996 and the first gubernatorial election since 1972 without the incumbent governor or lieutenant governor as a nominee.

When the polls closed, the election was very close, and continued to stay close throughout the night. Gregg performed well in Marion County (Indianapolis) and Lake County (Gary), which were Democratic strongholds. Pence performed well in the Indianapolis suburbs and the Fort Wayne area. At 12:34 am EST, the Associated Press called the race for Pence. At 1:06 am, Gregg called Pence to concede, realizing there were not enough votes left to overtake him. Pence ultimately won the election and took office on January 14, 2013. This was the closest race for governor since 1960.

Primaries

Democratic

Results

Democratic Indiana gubernatorial election primary in Indiana, 2012[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John R. Gregg 207,365 100
Total votes 207,365 100

Libertarian

General election

Candidates

  • John Gregg (Democratic), former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives
  • Rupert Boneham (Libertarian), four-time contestant on Survivor and founder of Rupert's Kids
  • Donnie Harold Harris (Public Party) (write-in)
  • Running mate: George Fish[8]

Debates

The Indiana Debate Commission organized three televised debates between Indiana Gubernatorial candidates Republican Mike Pence, Democrat John R. Gregg and Libertarian Rupert Boneham. Debate schedule
The first debate was held on Wednesday, October 10, 2012, at the Zionsville Performing Arts Center in Zionsville, Indiana and was moderated by former Indianapolis Star editor Dennis Ryerson.

The second debate was held on Wednesday, October 17, 2012, at the DeBartolo Performing Arts Center in South Bend, Indiana and was moderated by Indiana Fiscal Policy Institute president John Ketzenberger.

The third debate was held on Thursday, October 25, 2012, at the WFWA PBS 39 studio in Fort Wayne, Indiana and was moderated by DePauw University Executive Director of Media Relations Ken Owen.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Likely R November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Likely R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[11] Likely R November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[12] Likely R November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Pence (R)
John R.
Gregg (D)
Rupert
Boneham (L)
Other Undecided
Howey Politics/DePauw[13] October 28–30, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 47% 40% 5%
Benenson Strategy Group[14] October 18–21, 2012 701 ± 3.7% 44% 38% 6% 12%
YouGov[15] October 4–11, 2012 470 ± 5.6% 49% 38% 13%
Howey Politics/DePauw University[16] September 19–23, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 47% 34% 5% 14%
Market Research Insight[17] August 6–9, 2012 600 ± 4% 50% 32% 3% 15%
Market Research Insight[18] March 26–27, 2012 503 ± 4.5% 44% 31% 5% 20%

Results

State Senate district results
Indiana gubernatorial election, 2012[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Pence/Sue Ellspermann 1,275,424 49.49% −8.35%
Democratic John R. Gregg/Vi Simpson 1,200,016 46.56% +6.52%
Libertarian Rupert Boneham 101,868 3.95% +1.83%
Independent Donnie Harold Harris (write-in) 21 0.00% N/A
Total votes 2,577,329 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

By county

Source[20]

Mike Pence
Republican
John R. Gregg
Democratic
Rupert Boneham
Libertarian
Margin Total
County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes
Adams 8,108 62.60% 4,515 34.86% 329 2.54% 3,593 27.74% 12,952
Allen 78,657 54.69% 61,365 42.67% 3,790 2.64% 17,292 12.02% 143,812
Bartholomew 17,414 59.74% 10,607 36.39% 1,130 3.88% 6,807 23.35% 29,151
Benton 1,944 54.81% 1,374 38.74% 229 6.46% 570 16.07% 3,547
Blackford 2,432 52.23% 2,012 43.21% 212 4.55% 420 9.02% 4,656
Boone 17,415 56.43% 8,709 31.59% 1,019 3.70% 8,706 31.58% 27,565
Brown 3,773 40.30% 3,407 44.52% 455 5.95% 366 4.78% 7,653
Carroll 4,164 53.62% 3,132 40.33% 470 6.05% 1,032 13.29% 7,766
Cass 7,104 50.19% 6,246 44.13% 803 5.67% 858 6.06% 14,153
Clark 24,322 52.90% 20,108 43.73% 1,548 3.37% 4,214 9.17% 45,978
Clay 5,525 50.98% 4,747 43.80% 565 5.21% 778 7.18% 10,837
Clinton 5,411 54.93% 3,875 39.34% 565 5.74% 1,536 15.59% 9,851
Crawford 2,096 46.63% 2,266 50.41% 133 2.96% -170 -3.78% 4,495
Daviess 5,386 53.52% 4,396 43.68% 281 2.79% 990 9.84% 10,063
Dearborn 14,353 66.64% 6,210 28.83% 974 4.52% 8,143 37.81% 21,537
Decatur 6,479 63.04% 3,182 30.96% 616 5.99% 3,297 32.08% 10,277
DeKalb 9,583 59.89% 5,847 36.54% 571 3.57% 3,736 23.35% 16,001
Delaware 19,978 45.56% 21,901 49.95% 1,967 4.49% -1,923 -4.39% 43,846
Dubois 10,931 59.64% 6,958 37.97% 438 2.39% 3,973 21.68% 18,327
Elkhart 38,969 57.91% 26,340 39.15% 1,978 2.94% 12,629 18.77% 67,287
Fayette 4,573 52.64% 3,662 42.15% 452 5.20% 911 10.49% 8,687
Floyd 18,982 54.74% 14,738 42.50% 954 2.75% 4,244 12.24% 34,674
Fountain 3,760 53.27% 2,884 40.86% 414 5.87% 876 12.41% 7,058
Franklin 6,967 67.89% 2,858 27.84% 439 4.28% 4,109 40.03% 10,264
Fulton 4,532 56.03% 3,194 39.49% 362 4.48% 1,338 16.54% 8,088
Gibson 7,731 52.86% 6,508 44.50% 387 2.65% 1,223 8.36% 14,626
Grant 13,824 55.15% 10,313 41.14% 931 3.71% 3,511 14.01% 25,068
Greene 5,486 41.74% 7,307 55.60% 350 2.66% -1,821 -13.86% 13,143
Hamilton 88,062 65.19% 41,761 30.91% 5,265 3.90% 46,301 34.27% 135,088
Hancock 20,288 62.17% 10,464 32.07% 1,879 5.76% 9,824 30.11% 32,631
Harrison 9,987 57.07% 6,959 39.77% 554 3.17% 3,028 17.30% 17,500
Hendricks 40,242 61.33% 22,115 33.70% 3,257 4.96% 18,127 27.63% 65,614
Henry 9,437 49.63% 8,277 43.53% 1,301 6.84% 1,160 6.10% 19,015
Howard 17,768 49.24% 16,515 45.77% 1,802 4.99% 1,253 3.47% 36,085
Huntington 9,623 62.68% 5,212 33.95% 517 3.37% 4,411 28.73% 15,352
Jackson 9,613 57.78% 6,377 38.33% 648 3.89% 3,236 19.45% 16,638
Jasper 6,987 56.10% 5,055 40.59% 412 3.31% 1,932 15.51% 12,454
Jay 4,324 55.05% 3,183 40.52% 348 4.43% 1,141 14.53% 7,855
Jefferson 6,715 52.76% 5,610 44.08% 403 3.17% 1,105 8.68% 12,728
Jennings 5,648 55.76% 4,023 39.72% 458 4.52% 1,625 16.04% 10,129
Johnson 35,805 62.67% 18,097 31.68% 3,231 5.66% 17,708 30.99% 57,133
Knox 5,031 33.11% 9,911 65.23% 253 1.67% -4,880 -32.12% 15,195
Kosciusko 20,527 69.01% 8,300 27.90% 919 3.09% 12,227 41.10% 29,746
LaGrange 5,653 61.01% 3,257 35.15% 355 3.83% 2,396 25.86% 9,265
Lake 55,750 30.70% 122,251 67.32% 3,584 1.97% -66,501 -36.62% 181,585
LaPorte 16,159 38.48% 24,186 57.59% 1,653 3.94% -8,027 -19.11% 41,998
Lawrence 10,094 57.14% 6,830 38.67% 740 4.19% 3,264 18.48% 17,664
Madison 24,048 46.06% 25,392 48.64% 2,765 5.30% -1,344 -2.57% 52,205
Marion 129,125 36.27% 209,325 58.80% 17,518 4.92% -80,200 -22.53% 355,968
Marshall 9,900 56.22% 7,112 40.39% 598 3.40% 2,788 15.83% 17,610
Martin 2,471 52.36% 2,050 43.44% 198 4.20% 421 8.92% 4,719
Miami 6,882 54.48% 4,982 39.28% 767 6.07% 1,900 15.04% 12,631
Monroe 14,530 36.76% 22,981 58.14% 2,019 5.11% -8,451 -21.38% 39,530
Montgomery 8,105 56.41% 5,482 38.16% 780 5.43% 2,623 18.26% 14,367
Morgan 17,079 60.81% 9,295 33.10% 1,711 6.09% 7,784 27.72% 28,085
Newton 3,015 54.28% 2,287 41.17% 253 4.55% 728 13.11% 5,555
Noble 9,405 58.78% 6,047 37.80% 547 3.42% 3,358 20.99% 15,999
Ohio 1,554 56.57% 1,084 39.46% 109 3.97% 470 17.11% 2,747
Orange 4,112 53.85% 3,273 42.86% 251 3.29% 839 10.99% 7,636
Owen 4,164 51.43% 3,456 42.69% 476 5.88% 708 8.75% 8,096
Parke 3,366 51.78% 2,818 43.35% 316 4.86% 548 8.43% 6,500
Perry 3,132 40.04% 4,523 57.82% 168 2.15% -1,391 -17.78% 7,823
Pike 2,661 45.18% 3,066 52.05% 163 2.77% -405 -6.88% 5,890
Porter 29,321 41.06% 39,893 55.86% 2,198 3.08% -10,572 -14.80% 71,412
Posey 6,455 53.30% 5,340 44.10% 315 2.60% 1,115 9.21% 12,110
Pulaski 2,809 53.88% 2,189 41.99% 215 4.12% 620 11.89% 5,213
Putnam 7,550 55.03% 5,307 38.68% 864 6.30% 2,243 16.35% 13,721
Randolph 5,708 56.51% 3,939 39.00% 454 4.49% 1,769 17.51% 10,101
Ripley 7,018 64.99% 3,224 29.85% 557 5.16% 3,794 35.13% 10,799
Rush 4,120 59.20% 2,370 34.05% 470 6.75% 1,750 25.14% 6,960
St. Joseph 47,208 43.11% 59,410 54.25% 2,897 2.65% -12,202 -11.14% 109,515
Scott 4,069 47.26% 4,287 49.79% 254 2.95% -218 -2.53% 8,610
Shelby 9,643 57.70% 5,994 35.87% 1,084 6.49% 3,649 21.83% 16,712
Spencer 5,059 52.38% 4,385 45.40% 215 2.23% 674 6.98% 9,659
Starke 3,828 45.27% 4,291 50.75% 337 3.99% -463 -5.48% 8,456
Steuben 7,772 57.19% 5,308 39.06% 509 3.75% 2,464 18.13% 13,589
Sullivan 2,948 35.33% 5,179 62.06% 218 2.61% -2,231 -26.73% 8,345
Switzerland 1,666 50.73% 1,489 45.34% 129 3.93% 177 5.39% 3,284
Tippecanoe 25,709 45.70% 27,615 49.09% 2,929 5.21% -1,906 -3.39% 56,253
Tipton 4,136 56.74% 2,572 35.29% 401 5.50% 1,564 21.46% 7,289
Union 1,963 64.40% 940 30.84% 145 4.76% 1,023 33.56% 3,048
Vanderburgh 36,459 51.16% 32,830 46.07% 1,969 2.76% 3,629 5.09% 71,258
Vermillion 2,617 39.76% 3,639 55.29% 326 4.95% -1,022 -15.53% 6,582
Vigo 15,013 37.98% 22,988 58.15% 1,528 3.87% -7,975 -20.18% 39,529
Wabash 7,524 60.41% 4,459 35.80% 471 3.78% 3,065 24.61% 12,454
Warren 2,013 53.25% 1,579 41.77% 188 4.97% 434 11.48% 3,780
Warrick 13,654 56.25% 10,030 41.32% 588 2.42% 3,624 14.93% 24,272
Washington 6,129 57.71% 4,108 38.68% 383 3.61% 2,021 19.03% 10,620
Wayne 13,891 54.66% 10,261 40.38% 1,262 4.97% 3,630 14.28% 25,414
Wells 8,517 66.18% 3,997 31.06% 355 2.76% 4,520 35.12% 12,869
White 5,032 50.93% 4,279 43.31% 570 5.77% 753 7.62% 9,881
Whitley 9,084 61.44% 5,209 35.23% 493 3.33% 3,875 26.21% 14,786
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Pence won 6 of 9 congressional districts.[21]

District Pence Gregg Representative
1st 33.61% 63.98% Pete Visclosky
2nd 50.63% 46.15% Joe Donnelly (112th Congress)
Jackie Walorski (113th Congress)
3rd 58.24% 38.77% Marlin Stutzman
4th 53.82% 40.87% Todd Rokita
5th 55.34% 40.44% Dan Burton (112th Congress)
Susan Brooks (113th Congress)
6th 56.56% 38.49% Mike Pence (112th Congress)
Luke Messer (113th Congress)
7th 33.07% 61.73% André Carson
8th 48.28% 48.69% Larry Bucshon
9th 53.08% 42.70% Todd Young

References

  1. ^ Rader, Kevin (May 16, 2011). "Former speaker Gregg to run for Indiana governor". WTHR. Archived from the original on March 4, 2016. Retrieved May 21, 2012.
  2. ^ "Indiana Primary Election, May 8, 2012-United States Senator". Secretary of State of Indiana. June 5, 2012. Archived from the original on October 18, 2014. Retrieved June 11, 2012.
  3. ^ "'Survivor's' Rupert Boneham Announces He'll Run for Governor of Indiana". The Hollywood Reporter. October 22, 2011. Retrieved May 21, 2012.
  4. ^ "Rupert Receives Libertarian Nomination". Retrieved November 9, 2012.
  5. ^ Kelly, Niki (May 21, 2012). "Pence names running mate". The Journal Gazette. Retrieved May 21, 2012.
  6. ^ a b "Republican gubernatorial candidate Mike Pence chooses running mate". WXIN. May 21, 2012. Retrieved May 21, 2012.
  7. ^ Shella, Jim (May 21, 2012). "Gregg to name Sen. Simpson as running mate". WISH-TV. Retrieved May 21, 2012.
  8. ^ Rodgers, Lauren (May 7, 2012). "State executive primary preview: No surprises in Indiana tomorrow". Ballotnews. Archived from the original on May 16, 2012. Retrieved May 21, 2012.
  9. ^ "2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  10. ^ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on December 1, 2018. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  11. ^ "2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  12. ^ "2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  13. ^ Howey Politics/DePauw
  14. ^ Benenson Strategy Group
  15. ^ YouGov
  16. ^ Howey Politics/DePauw University
  17. ^ Market Research Insight
  18. ^ Market Research Insight Archived August 10, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
  19. ^ "Election Results". in.gov/apps/sos. November 28, 2012. Retrieved December 17, 2012.
  20. ^ "2012 Indiana Governor Results". Politico. 2012. Retrieved January 25, 2025.
  21. ^ "Daily Kos".

Campaign websites (archived)