Local elections were held in Taiwan on 27 November 2010 to elect mayors, councillors, and village chiefs of special-municipalities (Kaohsiung , New Taipei , Taichung , Tainan and Taipei ), known as the Five Municipalities Elections (Chinese : 五都選舉 ).[ 2] Mayoral candidates for the Kuomintang were elected in New Taipei, Taipei, and Taichung, while candidates for the Democratic Progressive Party were elected in Kaohsiung and Tainan. On the eve of the election, Sean Lien , son of former Vice President Chan Lien , was shot in face when he was campaigning for a Kuomintang New Taipei councillor candidate.
Earlier in the year on 12 June 2010, elections were held to elect representatives in township/city councils and village chiefs.
Results summary
Mayoral election results
Subdivision
Electorate
Turnout (%)
Winner
Runner-up
Map
Name
Votes
%
Name
Votes
%
New Taipei City
3,006,877
71.25
Eric Chu
1,115,536
52.61
Tsai Ing-wen
1,004,900
47.39
Taipei City
2,045,925
70.65
Hau Lung-pin
797,865
55.65
Su Tseng-chang
628,129
43.81
Taichung City
1,977,368
73.15
Jason Hu
730,284
51.12
Su Jia-chyuan
698,358
48.88
Tainan City
1,467,256
71.01
Lai Ching-te
619,897
60.41
Kuo Tien-tsai
406,196
39.59
Kaohsiung City
2,166,119
72.52
Chen Chu
821,089
52.80
Yang Chiu-hsing
414,950
26.68
Taipei
Electoral background
As the capital of Taiwan , Taipei functions as the economic and political centre of Taiwan , and is currently the largest city of Taiwan .[ 3] Due to the great allocation of resources to Taipei, the Municipal Mayoral position of Taipei is of extreme strategic importance within the political arena, and has always been a fiercely contested position. Because two directly elected Municipal Mayors of Taipei, Chen Shui-bian and Ma Ying-jeou , were elected the Presidents in 2000 and 2008 respectively, the position has been widely speculated to be a "first-step" towards the Presidential Office .[ 4]
Having been under the administration of the Kuomintang for the past twelve years, Taipei is commonly considered to be solidly in the Pan-Blue political camp. Recent estimates show that approximately 60% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Blue Coalition , whilst 40% support the Pan-Green Coalition .[ 5] A significant proportion of eligible voters in Taiwan identify themselves as having no political inclination. The incumbent Taipei Municipal Mayor Hau Lung-pin of the Kuomintang stood for his second term in this election.
Polling
Poll source
Date of completion
Hau Lung-pin
Su Tseng-chang
Undecided
TVBS
May 26, 2010[ 6]
46%
41%
14%
Era Television
June 11, 2010[ 7]
39.3%
41.0%
19.6%
Era Television
June 22, 2010[ 8]
41.8%
37.7%
20.5%
China Times
July 15, 2010[ 9]
42.9%
38.5%
18.7%
TVBS
July 20, 2010[ 10]
44%
41%
15%
I-tel Research
August 19, 2010[ 11]
58.33%
41.67%
—
TVBS
August 25, 2010[ 12]
45%
42%
12%
Apple Daily
August 29, 2010[ 13]
43.12%
44.68%
12.20%
I-tel Research
September 1, 2010[ 14]
44.55%
55.45%
—
TVBS
September 8, 2010[ 15]
42%
45%
13%
China Times
September 17, 2010[ 16]
39.0%
41.2%
19.8%
I-tel Research
September 20, 2010[ 17]
52.94%
47.06%
—
United Daily News
September 26, 2010[ 18]
41%
33%
26%
Apple Daily
October 3, 2010[ 19]
47.52%
35.64%
16.84%
TVBS
October 6, 2010[ 20]
43%
42%
15%
Shih Hsin University
October 12, 2010[ 21]
33.2%
30.1%
36.7%
Liberty Times
October 21, 2010[ 22]
36.84%
37.45%
25.71%
United Daily News
October 24, 2010[ 23]
48%
37%
15%
TVBS
October 27, 2010[ 24]
46%
40%
14%
China Times
November 3, 2010[ 25]
42.7%
42.1%
15.2%
Wealth Magazine
November 7, 2010[ 26]
37.2%
38.5%
24.3%
Shih Hsin University
November 8, 2010[ 27]
33.4%
33.0%
33.6%
Democratic Progressive Party
November 10, 2010[ 28]
39.3%
40.8%
19.9%
TVBS
November 11, 2010[ 29]
49%
39%
12%
China Times
November 14, 2010[ 30]
47.3%
39.6%
13.2%
Predictions
Source
Date of release
Voter turnout
Hau Lung-pin
Su Tseng-chang
TVBS
August 25, 2010[ 12]
66%
51%
49%
TVBS
September 8, 2010[ 15]
67%
48%
52%
I-tel Research
October 4, 2010[ 31]
—
50.59%
49.41%
United Daily News
October 24, 2010[ 23]
—
49%
51%
TVBS
October 27, 2010[ 24]
68%
50.3%
49.7%
TVBS
November 11, 2010[ 29]
68%
53%
47%
Global Views
November 27, 2010[ 32]
68%
50.6%
48.5%
Results
Municipal Mayoral Election
Municipal Councilmen Election
Ward Chiefs Election
New Taipei
Electoral background
Polling
Poll source
Date of completion
Eric Chu Li-luan
Tsai Ing-wen
Undecided
China Times
May 24, 2010[ 36]
33.0%
28.2%
38.7%
TVBS
May 24, 2010[ 37]
43%
44%
14%
TVBS
July 16, 2010[ 38]
46%
40%
14%
China Times
July 17, 2010[ 39]
39.2%
39.8%
21.0%
Era Television
July 21, 2010[ 40]
41.1%
36.2%
22.7%
Democratic Progressive Party
August 19, 2010[ 41]
44.2%
44.1%
11.7%
TVBS
August 23, 2010[ 42]
47%
40%
13%
I-tel Research
August 23, 2010[ 43]
45%
55%
—
I-tel Research
September 7, 2010[ 44]
43.9%
56.1%
—
Apple Daily
September 11, 2010[ 45]
47.04%
39.08%
13.88%
China Times
September 17, 2010[ 46]
42.1%
38.1%
19.8%
Democratic Progressive Party
September 23, 2010[ 47]
44.4%
43.5%
12.1%
United Daily News
September 27, 2010[ 48]
45%
28%
26%
I-tel Research
September 28, 2010[ 49]
55.63%
44.38%
—
Apple Daily
October 4, 2010[ 50]
48.49%
35.13%
16.38%
TVBS
October 5, 2010[ 51]
47%
35%
17%
Democratic Progressive Party
October 7, 2010[ 52]
43.1%
43.5%
13.4%
Citizen's Association of Taiwan
October 8, 2010[ 53]
37.9%
35.3%
26.8%
Shih Hsin University
October 10, 2010[ 54]
35.3%
31.3%
33.4%
China Times
October 17, 2010[ 55]
43%
34%
23%
Liberty Times
October 19, 2010[ 56]
35.81%
34.00%
30.19%
United Daily News
October 27, 2010[ 57]
45%
37%
18%
TVBS
October 29, 2010[ 58]
44%
40%
16%
China Times
November 2, 2010[ 59]
44%
38%
18%
Liberty Times
November 2, 2010[ 60]
35.82%
38.49%
25.69%
Wealth Magazine
November 5, 2010[ 26]
39.3%
34.3%
26.4%
Decision Making Research
November 6, 2010[ 61]
39.9%
37.2%
22.9%
Shih Hsin University
November 7, 2010[ 62]
33.5%
30.4%
36.1%
China Times
November 8, 2010[ 63]
45.6%
41.6%
12.8%
TVBS
November 9, 2010[ 64]
45%
38%
17%
Democratic Progressive Party
November 12, 2010[ 65]
40.3%
39.1%
20.6%
Liberty Times
November 12, 2010[ 66]
38.81%
39.29%
21.90%
Predictions
Source
Date of release
Voter turnout
Eric Chu Li-luan
Tsai Ing-wen
TVBS
August 23, 2010[ 67]
69%
53%
47%
I-tel Research
October 4, 2010[ 68]
—
49.56%
50.44%
United Daily News
October 27, 2010[ 57]
—
55%
45%
TVBS
October 29, 2010[ 69]
71%
51%
49%
TVBS
November 9, 2010[ 70]
71%
51%
49%
Global Views
November 27, 2010[ 32]
69.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Results
Municipal Mayoral Election
Municipal Councilmen Election
Ward Chiefs Election
Taichung
Electoral background
The newly created central municipality Taichung will be formed from the merging and elevation of Taichung County and Taichung City , both of which are currently county-level divisions of Taiwan . At present, both Taichung County and Taichung are under the administration of the Kuomintang , with the incumbent Taichung County Magistrate being Huang Chung-sheng and the incumbent Taichung City Mayor being Jason Hu Chih-chiang . The electoral composition of Taichung County is relatively balanced with only a slight overall inclination towards the Pan-Blue political camp, whereas Taichung City is commonly considered to be mildly leaning towards the Pan-Blue political camp. It is estimated that in Taichung County , approximately 52% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Blue Coalition , whilst 48% support the Pan-Green Coalition .[ 33] In Taichung City , the proportion of Pan-Blue to Pan-Green supporters within voters who identify themselves with political inclination is approximately 55% to 45%.[ 33]
Polling
Poll source
Date of completion
Jason Hu Chih-chiang
Su Jia-chyuan
Undecided
Apple Daily
May 24, 2010[ 71]
53.40%
35.39%
11.21%
TVBS
May 25, 2010[ 72]
57%
26%
17%
United Daily News
June 4, 2010[ 73]
46%
24%
30%
Liberty Times
June 9, 2010[ 74]
35.59%
28.71%
29.67%
Era Television
July 6, 2010[ 75]
44.6%
32.5%
22.9%
TVBS
July 22, 20102[ 76]
51%
31%
19%
Era Television
July 27, 2010[ 77]
43.5%
30.7%
25.8%
I-tel Research
August 26, 2010[ 78]
62%
38%
—
TVBS
August 27, 2010[ 79]
51%
30%
19%
I-tel Research
September 9, 2010[ 80]
52.25%
47.75%
—
Democratic Progressive Party
September 15, 2010[ 81]
45%
36%
19%
China Times
September 19, 2010[ 82]
41%
35%
25%
Apple Daily
September 26, 2010[ 83]
51.82%
36.26%
11.92%
United Daily News
September 28, 2010[ 84]
43%
25%
29%
Democratic Progressive Party
September 29, 2010[ 85]
46.4%
33.3%
20.3%
I-tel Research
September 29, 2010[ 86]
59.57%
40.43%
—
TVBS
October 12, 2010[ 87]
47%
34%
18%
Shih Hsin University
October 12, 2010[ 88]
37.9%
22.2%
39.9%
Democratic Progressive Party
October 13, 2010[ 89]
45.7%
35.3%
19.0%
United Daily News
October 27, 2010[ 57]
49%
31%
20%
Democratic Progressive Party
October 27, 2010[ 90]
40.5%
35.4%
24.1%
China Times
October 31, 2010[ 91]
43%
33%
23%
Liberty Times
November 5, 2010[ 92]
34.85%
30.04%
35.11%
Democratic Progressive Party
November 6, 2010[ 93]
40.1%
35.1%
24.8%
Shih Hsin University
November 9, 2010[ 94]
36.3%
26.5%
37.2%
China Times
November 12, 2010[ 95]
47.1%
40.1%
12.8%
Beterly Research
November 15, 2010[ 96]
28.9%
29.2%
41.9%
Predictions
Source
Date of release
Voter turnout
Jason Hu Chih-chiang
Su Jia-chyuan
TVBS
August 27, 2010[ 79]
65%
58%
42%
I-tel Research
October 4, 2010[ 97]
—
57.28%
42.72%
United Daily News
October 27, 2010[ 57]
—
56%
44%
Global Views
November 27, 2010[ 32]
64.1%
50.6%
49.4%
Results
Municipal Mayoral Election
Municipal Councilmen Election
Ward Chiefs Election
Tainan
Electoral background
The newly created central municipality Tainan will be formed from the merging and elevation of Tainan County and Tainan City , both of which are currently county-level divisions of Taiwan . The incumbent Tainan County Magistrate Su Huan-chih and the incumbent Tainan City Mayor being Hsu Tain-tsair are both members of the Democratic Progressive Party . Having been under the administration of the Democratic Progressive Party for the past seventeen and thirteen years respectively, both Tainan County and Tainan City are commonly considered to be strongholds of the Pan-Green political camp.[ 35] It is estimated that in both the county and the city, approximately 60% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Green Coalition , whilst 40% support the Pan-Blue Coalition .[ 33]
Polling
Poll source
Date of completion
William Lai Ching-te
Kuo Tien-tsai
Undecided
TVBS
May 20, 2010[ 98]
59%
22%
19%
TVBS
July 27, 2010[ 99]
53%
25%
22%
Era Television
August 17, 2010[ 100]
47.7%
18.9%
33.4%
I-tel Research
August 27, 2010[ 101]
67.21%
32.79%
—
TVBS
August 31, 2010[ 102]
53%
25%
21%
I-tel Research
September 13, 2010[ 103]
75.42%
24.58%
—
China Times
September 18, 2010[ 104]
52%
21%
27%
United Daily News
September 29, 2010[ 105]
44%
20%
33%
I-tel Research
September 30, 2010[ 106]
66.43%
33.57%
—
TVBS
October 13, 2010[ 107]
50%
28%
22%
Shih Hsin University
October 16, 2010[ 108]
36.2%
23.3%
40.5%
Liberty Times
October 23, 2010[ 109]
44.07%
16.73%
39.2%
United Daily News
October 29, 2010[ 110]
48%
24%
28%
China Times
October 29, 2010[ 111]
52%
23%
25%
TVBS
November 4, 2010[ 112]
47%
34%
18%
Shih Hsin University
November 13, 2010[ 113]
37.7%
22.0%
40.3%
Democratic Progressive Party
November 13, 2010[ 114]
51.3%
25.9%
22.8%
Predictions
Source
Date of release
Voter turnout
William Lai Ching-te
Kuo Tien-tsai
TVBS
August 31, 2010[ 102]
67%
64%
36%
I-tel Research
October 4, 2010[ 115]
—
66.79%
33.21%
United Daily News
October 29, 2010[ 110]
—
58%
42%
TVBS
November 4, 2010[ 116]
71%
56%
44%
Global Views
November 27, 2010[ 32]
61.7%
62.5%
37.5%
Results
Municipal Mayoral Election
Municipal Councilmen Election
Ward Chiefs Election
Kaohsiung
Electoral background
The newly created central municipality Kaohsiung will be formed from the merging of Kaohsiung County and the current central municipality Kaohsiung City . The incumbent Kaohsiung Municipal Mayor Chen Chu and the incumbent Kaohsiung County Magistrate Yang Chiu-hsing are both members of the Democratic Progressive Party . Having been under the administration of the Democratic Progressive Party for the past twelve years, the electoral composition of Kaohsiung City has a slight overall inclination towards the Pan-Green political camp.[ 117] On the other hand, Kaohsiung County has been under the control of Tangwai members and the Democratic Progressive Party for 25 years, is widely considered to be solidly in the Pan-Green political camp.[ 34] [ 35] It is estimated that in Kaohsiung County , approximately 60% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Green Coalition , whilst 40% support the Pan-Blue Coalition .[ 33]
Polling
Poll source
Date of completion
Chen Chu
Yang Chiu-hsing
Huang Chao-shun
Undecided
TVBS
May 27, 2010[ 118]
62%
—
26%
12%
Era Television
July 13, 2010[ 119]
45.4%
25.4%
11.7%
17.5%
TVBS
July 29, 2010[ 120]
43%
26%
16%
15%
Apple Daily
August 3, 2010[ 121]
43.75%
27.18%
20.49%
8.58%
Era Television
August 3, 2010[ 122]
43.6%
23.8%
11.5%
21.2%
United Daily News
August 4, 2010[ 123]
44%
23%
13%
19%
Democratic Progressive Party
August 9, 2010[ 124]
53.7%
22.6%
15.3%
8.4%
TVBS
August 10, 2010[ 125]
46%
28%
14%
12%
I-tel Research
August 16, 2010[ 126]
54.35%
36.96%
8.70%
—
Liberty Times
August 18, 2010[ 127]
46%
19%
7%
28%
I-tel Research
August 31, 2010[ 128]
48.36%
20.49%
31.15%
—
TVBS
September 2, 2010[ 129]
46%
22%
16%
16%
I-tel Research
September 17, 2010[ 130]
56.45%
25.81%
17.74%
—
China Times
September 18, 2010[ 131]
45.5%
20.2%
14.9%
19.3%
Apple Daily
September 23, 2010[ 132]
36.39%
24.60%
18.05%
20.96%
United Daily News
September 26, 2010[ 18]
37%
24%
14%
23%
Democratic Progressive Party
September 27, 2010[ 133]
46.0%
26.3%
12.4%
15.3%
TVBS
September 28, 2010[ 134]
42%
21%
18%
19%
The Commons Daily
September 29, 2010[ 135]
31.7%
18.8%
7.3%
42.4%
Apple Daily
September 29, 2010[ 136]
38.30%
22.48%
19.61%
19.61%
China Times
September 30, 2010[ 137]
42.8%
21.1%
13.8%
22.3%
Democratic Progressive Party
October 12, 2010[ 138]
47.0%
21.7%
14.8%
16.5%
Shih Hsin University
October 14, 2010[ 139]
31.7%
20.6%
15.2%
32.5%
TVBS
October 25, 2010[ 140]
43%
26%
16%
15%
China Times
October 28, 2010[ 141]
47.1%
23.4%
10.3%
19.2%
Liberty Times
October 30, 2010[ 142]
43.27%
18.52%
7.8%
30.41%
United Daily News
October 31, 2010[ 143]
39%
29%
16%
16%
TVBS
November 7, 2010[ 144]
41%
28%
16%
15%
Democratic Progressive Party
November 9, 2010[ 145]
47.2%
25.6%
12.5%
14.7%
Shih Hsin University
November 11, 2010[ 146]
34.1%
18.2%
15.3%
32.4%
Liberty Times
November 15, 2010[ 142]
45.03%
16.76%
11.51%
26.37%
China Times
November 15, 2010[ 147]
46.0%
24.0%
13.7%
16.3%
Predictions
Source
Date of release
Voter turnout
Chen Chu
Yang Chiu-hsing
Huang Chao-shun
TVBS
September 2, 2010[ 129]
72%
52%
26%
22%
I-tel Research
October 4, 2010[ 148]
—
52.74%
25.34%
21.92%
TVBS
October 25, 2010[ 140]
74%
46%
31%
23%
United Daily News
October 31, 2010[ 143]
—
44%
35%
21%
TVBS
November 7, 2010[ 149]
73%
45%
33%
21%
Kuomintang
November 15, 2010[ 150]
—
41.52%
27.68%
30.80%
Global Views
November 27, 2010[ 32]
69.7%
55.6%
39.2%
5.2%
Results
Municipal Mayoral Election
Municipal Councilmen Election
Ward Chiefs Election
Implications and reactions A forum entitled "Policy Direction after Five Metropolitan Elections in Taiwan", organized by the Institute for National Policy Research on Monday, November 29, 2010, concluded that although the Kuomintang won three of the five mayoral positions, in terms of the overall votes won, the real victor was in fact the Democratic Progressive Party .[ 151]
Raymond Burghardt , chairman of the American Institute in Taiwan , said that the way both parties handled the shooting which wounded Sean Lien , son of former vice-president Lien Chan, "was also a sign of political maturity."[ 152]
Taiwanese political scientist Hsu Yung-ming believed that the elections signalled the era of the new "Four Heavenly Kings" Tsai Ing-wen , Chen Chu , William Lai and Su Jia-chyuan within the Democratic Progressive Party.[ 153]
See also
Notes
^ Township/city council and village elections in counties were held on 12 June 2010
^ 314 councillors 3,757 village chiefs in municipalities 2,322 township/city council representatives 4,074 village chiefs in counties Figures in this infobox are for mayor elections unless otherwise noted
^ Compared to the 2 municipal mayor elections of 2006
^ Bold figures indicate majority
References
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