Langbahn Team – Weltmeisterschaft

Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2027 French presidential election. The first round is expected to be in April of 2027.

First round

If a candidate receives an absolute majority (50%+1, including blank and void ballots), the election ends after the first round and the second round does not occur. If a second round occurs, the two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round. Candidates are listed from left to right based on their party's position on the left-right spectrum; when there are several candidates from one party, then they are ordered alphabetically by their last name.

March 2025 onwards

On 31 March, Marine Le Pen was barred from running for public office for 5 years, following her embezzlement conviction.

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size
Elabe 2–4 Apr 2025 1,413 1% 1.5% 5.5% 10% 6% – 6% – 23% – – 9% 2.5% 31.5% 4%
1% 1.5% 4.5% 9.5% – 10.5% 3.5% – 20.5% 2.5% – 8.5% 3% 31% 4%
1.5% 2% 5.5% 10.5% 4% – 4.5% 18% – – 4.5% – 4% 35.5% 5%
Harris Interactive 31 Mar 2025 1,162 1% 1% 4% 13% 5% – 4% – 25% – 4% – 2% 36% 5%
1% 1% 4% 13% 5% – 4% – 23% – – 7% 2% 35% 5%

Until March 2025

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size
Ifop 26–27 Mar 2025 1,119 1% 1% 4% 12% – – – 4% – – – – 3% – – – – – – – 25% – – 5% – – 4% – 36% 5%
1% 1% 3% 13% – – – 5% – – – – 3% – – – – – – – 21% – – – – 11% 3% – 34% 5%
1% 1% 4% 13% – – – 5% – – – – 3% 20% – – – – – – – – – 8% – – 3% – 37% 5%
1% 1% 2% 13% – – – – – 11% – – 3% – – – – – – – 20% – – 5% – – 3% – 35% 5%
Ifop 6–9 Dec 2024 1,101 1% 0.5% 3% 12% – – – 5% – – – – 4.5% 20% – – – – – – – 1% – 8% – – 3% – 38% 4%
1% 0.5% 3% 11% – – – – 7% – – – 4% – – – – – – – 24% 1.5% – 6% – – 3% – 35% 4%
0.5% 0.5% 3% 12% – – – 4% – – – – 4.5% – – – – – – – 25% 1% – 6% – – 3.5% – 36% 4%
1% 0.5% 3% 12% – – – 4% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 26% 1.5% – 6.5% – – 3.5% 34% – 3%
OpinionWay 11–12 Sep 2024 1,009 – – 4% 10% – – – – – 14% – 1% – – – – – – – – 26% – – 5% – – – – 35% 5%
1% 2% – 15% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 31% – 7% – – – – – 40% 4%
– – 3% 10% – – – – – 12% – 1% – 8% – – – – – – 23% – – 5% – – – – 34% 4%
1% 2% – 14% – – – – – – – – – 10% – – – – – – 25% – – 6% – – – – 38% 4%
– – – 4% 10% – – – – 14% – 1% – – – – – – – – 28% – – 4% – – – 35% – 4%
– – 4% 10% – – – – – 14% – 1% – – – – – – – – 27% – – – 4% – – – 36% 4%
Ifop 6–9 Sep 2024 1,107 1% 1% 6% 10% – – – 4% – – – – 6% 24% – – – – – – – 3% – 5% – – 2% – 35% 3%
1% 1% 5% 10% – – – – 8% – – – 5% 22% – – – – – – – 3% – 5% – – 2% – 35% 3%
1% 1.5% 6% 9% – – – 4% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 27% 3% – 4% – – 2% – 34% 3.5%
0.5% 1% 6% 9.5% – – – – 7% – – – 5% – – – – – – – 26% 2% – 4% – – 2% – 34% 3%
Harris Interactive 7–8 Jul 2024 2,496 1% 2% 3% 15% – – – – – 14% - – 3% 20% – – – – – – – – – 5% – – 2% – 31% 4%
1% 1% 3% 15% – – – – – 14% – – 3% – – – – – - – 22% – – 5% – – 2% – 31% 3%
1% 2% 5% 16% – – – 6% – – – – 4% 23% – – – – – – – – – 5% – – 2% – 32% 4%
1% 2% 4% 17% – – – 5% – – – – 4% – – – – – - – 24% – – 5% – – 2% – 32% 4%
Ifop 16–18 Apr 2024 1,090 1% 2% 5% 13% – – – 3% – – – – 2% 22% – – – – – – – 2.5% – 8% – – 2.5% 30% – 9%
1.5% 0.5% 4.5% 14% – – – 3% – – – – 2% – – – – – – – 26% – – 5% – – 2% 33% – 7%
2% 1.5% 6% 15% – – – 5.5% – – – – 3% – – – – 12% – – – 2% – 8.5% – – 2% – 36% 6.5%
1.5% 1.5% 5% 16% – – – 4.5% – – – – 2.5% – – – – – 14% – – 2% – 8% – – 3% – 35% 7%
1% 2% 4% 14% – – – 4% – – – – 3% 20% – – – – – – – 2% – 7% – – 2% – 35% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 4.5% 13% – – – 4.5% – – – – 2% – – – – – – – 24% 2% – 5% – – 3% – 34% 5%
1.5% 1% 5% 13% – – – 4% – – – – 2.5% – – – – – – – 24% 2% 6% – – – 2% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 5.5% 12% – – – – 8% – – – – – – – – – – – 24% 2% – 5% – – 2% – 32% 6.5%
1.5% 2% 5% – 7% – – 3.5% – – – – 3% – – – – – – – 26% 3% – 5% – – 2.5% – 35% 6.5%
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 2024 1,686 – 2% – – 29% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 25% – – 4.5% – – 3% – 31% 6.5%
– 3% – 18% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 31% – – 5% – – 4% – 32% 7%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1,081 1.5% 1.5% 4% 14% – – – 2% – – – – 2% 22% – – – – – – – 3% – 5.5% – – 2.5% – 36% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 4.5% 14% – – – 2% – – – – 2.5% – – – – – – – 22% 3% – 4.5% – – 2.5% – 36% 6%
Ifop 9–10 Jan 2024 1,144 1% 2% 5% 14.5% – – – 4% – – – – 1% 24% – – – – – – – 2.5% – 6% – – 3% 28% – 9%
0.5% 1.5% 6% 15% – – – 3.5% – – – – 1.5% – – – – – – – 26% 2.5% – 6% – – 2.5% 27% – 8%
0.5% 2% 6.5% 14% – – – 3.5% – – – – 1.5% 23% – – – – – – – 2.5% – 6% – – 2% – 32% 6.5%
0.5% 1.5% 6% 13% – – – 3% – – – – 2% – – – – – – – 25% 2.5% – 5% – – 2% – 33% 6.5%
Ifop 24–25 Oct 2023 1,179 1% 1% 6% 14% – – – 5% – – – – 2% 19% – – – – – – – 4% – 6% – – 3% – 33% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 6% 15% – – – 6% – – – – 2% – – – – 16% – – – 3.5% – 6% – – 2.5% – 33% 7%
1.5% 1% 7% 15% – – – 5.5% – – – – 2% – – – – – 18% – – 3% – 6% – – 2.5% – 32% 6.5%
1.5% 2% 7.5% – 7% – – 4% – – – – 2% – – – – – – – 26% 2.5% – 6% – – 3% – 32% 6.5%
1% 2% 6% 14% – – – 4% – – – – 1% – – – – – – – 25% 2.5% – 5% – – 2% – 31% 6.5%
Harris Interactive 1–4 Sep 2023 2,525 1% 2% 6% 16% – 7% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 16% – – – – 7% – – 2% – 32% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% – 8% – – – – 6% – – – – – – 14% – – – – – 7% – – 2% – 32% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% – 9% – – – – 5% – – – 11% – – – – – – – – 9% – – 2% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 17% – 10% – – – – 7% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 10% – – 3% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 5% 16% – 8% – – – – 7% – – 12% – – – – – – – – – 8% – – 2% – 32% 7%
1% 2% 6% 17% – 9% – – – – 6% – – – – – 9% – – – – – – 9% – – 2% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% – 10% – – – – 6% – – – – – – – – 8% – – – 9% – – 3% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% – 5% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – – – 22% – – 5% – – 2% – 30% 6%
OpinionWay 12–13 Apr 2023 1,038 1% 3% – 17% – – – 6% – – – 2% – – – – – – – – 32% – – 7% – – – 23% – 9%
Harris Interactive 6–7 Apr 2023 1,320 1% 1% 4% 16% – 5% – – – – 4% – – – – – – – – – 24% – – 5% – – 2% – 30% 7%
1% 1% 5% 18% – 7% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 16% – – – – 5% – – 2% – 32% 7%
1% 1% 5% 19% – 8% – – – – 5% – – – – – – 10% – – – – – 7% – – 2% – 33% 8%
1% 1% 4% 17% – – 3% – – – 4% – – – – – – – – – 24% – – 5% – – 2% – 31% 7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 2023 1,105 1% 2.5% 5% 17% – – – 3% – – – – 1% – – – – – – – 26% 2% – 5% – – 2.5% – 29% 6%
1% 2.5% – 22% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 28% 2.5% – 4% – – 3% – 31% 6%
1% 2.5% 6% 20% – – – 2% – – – – 1% – – – – – 18% – – 2.5% – 6% – – 3% – 32% 6%
0.5% 2.5% 5% 20% – – – 3% – – – – 2% – – – – 11% – – – 2% – 8% – – 4% – 35% 7%
1% 1.5% 6.5% 20% – – – 2% – – – – 1% – – – – – – 9% – 3% – 10% – – 3% – 36% 7%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022 – 0.56% 0.76% 2.28% 21.95% – – – – – 4.63% – – – – – – – – – – 3.13% – – – – 2.06% – 23.15% 7.07%

Second round

This round occurs if no candidate earns an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) in the first round (50%+1). The two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round with the candidate who receives the most votes being declared the winner.

Attal vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size
Attal
RE 		Le Pen[a]
RN
Ifop 20–24 Apr 2024 1,081 47% 53%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1,081 49% 51%

Philippe vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size
Philippe
HOR 		Le Pen[a]
RN
Ifop 20–24 Apr 2024 1,081 49% 51%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1,081 50% 50%

Mélenchon vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size
Mélenchon
LFI 		Le Pen[a]
RN
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 2024 1,686 35% 65%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1,081 36% 64%

Ruffin vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size
Ruffin
Picardie Debout [fr] 		Le Pen[a]
RN
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 2024 1,686 50% 50%

Scenario polling

Le Pen runs

On 31 March, Marine Le Pen was barred from running for public office for 5 years, following her embezzlement conviction.

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size
Elabe 2–4 Apr 2025 1,413 1% 2% 6% 10% 5.5% – 5.5% – 23.5% – 8% 3% 32% 3.5%
0.5% 2% 5% 9.5% – 10.5% 4% – 24% 4.5% – 3% 33.5% 3.5%
1% 2% 5.5% 11% 4% – 6% 18% – – 10% 3% 36% 3.5%

Re-run of the 2022 election

Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.

First round

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size
Cluster17 18–20 Oct 2023 1,580 0.5% 0.5% 5% 17.5% 2% 5% 24.5% 3% 3.5% 3% 29.5% 6.5%
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 2023 1,005 1% 1% 5% 19% 2% 4% 23% 3% 3% 2% 32% 5%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 0.5% 1% 4% 18.5% 1.5% 5% 23% 2.5% 3.5% 2.5% 31% 7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 2023 1,105 0.5% 1% 5% 17% 2% 5% 25% 1.5% 4% 2% 31% 6%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 2022 2,151 0.5% 1% 3% 20% 1% 5% 30% 2.5% 3% 2.5% 25.5% 6%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 2022 1,125 0.5% 1% 3% 17% 2% 6% 29% 1.5% 3% 2% 30% 5%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022 – 0.56% 0.76% 2.28% 21.95% 1.74% 4.63% 27.85% 3.13% 4.78% 2.06% 23.15% 7.07%

Second round

Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

Abstention
Macron[b]
RE 		Le Pen[a]
RN
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 2023 1,005 – 46% 54%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 – 45% 55%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 2022 2,151 – 51.5% 48.5%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 2022 1,125 – 53% 47%
2022 election 24 Apr 2022 – 28.01% 58.55% 41.45%

Footnotes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h Le Pen is currently not eligible after her 2025 conviction.
  2. ^ a b Macron is not eligible for a third consecutive term.

References

Quelle: Https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election
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