Division of Jagajaga
| Jagajaga Australian House of Representatives Division | |
|---|---|
 Division of Jagajaga in Victoria, as of the 2022 federal election | |
| Created | 1984 |
| MP | Kate Thwaites |
| Party | Labor |
| Namesake | Three Wurundjeri elders |
| Electors | 113,239 (2022) |
| Area | 137 km2 (52.9 sq mi) |
| Demographic | Outer metropolitan |
The Division of Jagajaga is an Australian Electoral Division in the state of Victoria. It is located in the north-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, and lies north of the Yarra River. It covers an area of approximately 137 square kilometres and comprises the suburbs of Bellfield, Briar Hill, Eaglemont, Eltham, Eltham North, Greensborough, Heidelberg, Heidelberg Heights, Heidelberg West, Ivanhoe, Ivanhoe East, Lower Plenty, Montmorency, North Warrandyte, Plenty, Rosanna, St Helena, Viewbank, Yallambie, Watsonia and Watsonia North; and parts of Bundoora, and Macleod.
The area is predominantly residential and light industrial, and includes the Australian Army's Simpson Barracks, the Heidelberg Repatriation Hospital, the Mercy Hospital for Women and the Austin Hospital.
Most of the City of Banyule and parts of the Shire of Nillumbik and City of Whittlesea local government areas are contained within the Division's boundaries. Four Legislative Assembly Districts are represented in the Division, namely Ivanhoe, Eltham, Bundoora, and Eildon. The Legislative Council Regions of North-Eastern Metropolitan and Northern Victoria are also represented.
Geography
Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]
History
The Division was proclaimed at the redistribution of 14 September 1984, and was first contested at the 1984 election. The division replaced the western half of the abolished Division of Diamond Valley, with the eastern half becoming the Division of Menzies. It was named after three Wurundjeri Aboriginal Australian men who supposedly made the Batman Treaty with the party of early colonial settler and one of the founders of Melbourne, John Batman in 1835.
The Division has always been a marginal-to-safe Labor seat. It was first held by Peter Staples, who served as a minister under Bob Hawke and Paul Keating. Staples retired in 1996 and was replaced by Jenny Macklin, who has held the seat prior to her retirement in 2018. Macklin served as Deputy Leader of the Australian Labor Party under Simon Crean, Mark Latham and Kim Beazley, as well as a minister under Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard. In 2018, Macklin announced her retirement from politics. Kate Thwaites replaced Macklin as Labor's candidate for the area and subsequently won the seat in the 2019 Australian federal election.
Members
| Image | Member | Party | Term | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Peter Staples (1947–) |
Labor | 1 December 1984 – 29 January 1996 |
Previously held the Division of Diamond Valley. Served as minister under Hawke and Keating. Retired | |
|
Jenny Macklin (1953–) |
2 March 1996 – 11 April 2019 |
Served as minister under Rudd and Gillard. Retired.[2] | ||
|
|
Kate Thwaites (1980–) |
18 May 2019 – present |
Incumbent |
Election results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | Kate Thwaites | 41,412 | 40.90 | +0.00 | |
| Liberal | Sahil Tomar | 29,535 | 29.17 | −10.04 | |
| Greens | Liz Chase | 16,855 | 16.65 | +2.26 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Maya Tesa | 3,760 | 3.71 | +3.71 | |
| United Australia | Allison Zelinka | 3,493 | 3.45 | −0.04 | |
| Independent | Zahra Mustaf | 3,150 | 3.11 | +3.11 | |
| One Nation | John Booker | 2,274 | 2.25 | +2.25 | |
| Federation | Brendan Palmarini | 764 | 0.75 | +0.75 | |
| Total formal votes | 101,243 | 96.20 | −0.74 | ||
| Informal votes | 4,003 | 3.80 | +0.74 | ||
| Turnout | 105,246 | 93.00 | −2.26 | ||
| Two-party-preferred result | |||||
| Labor | Kate Thwaites | 63,122 | 62.35 | +6.46 | |
| Liberal | Sahil Tomar | 38,121 | 37.65 | −6.46 | |
| Labor hold | Swing | +6.46 | |||
indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.Opinion polling for the next federal election in Jagajaga
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L/NP | ALP | GRN | IND | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||||
| 29 Oct 2024 - 20 Nov 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group | — | ±4.0% | 37% | 41% | 12% | — | 10% | 44% | 56% | |
| 10 Jul 2024 - 27 Aug 2024 | Accent Research/RedBridge Group | — | ±3.5% | 35% | 40% | 16% | — | 9% | 41% | 59% | |
| Feb 2024 - May 2024 | RedBridge Group | — | ±3.3% | 33% | 39% | 18% | — | 10% | 39% | 61% | |
| 21 May 2022 | 2022 Federal Election | 29.2% | 40.9% | 16.7% | 3.1% | 10.1% | 37.6% | 62.4% | |||
| 14 Apr – 7 May 2022 | YouGov | — | — | 37% | 40% | 14% | — | 9% | 43% | 57% | |
| 18 May 2019 | 2019 Federal Election | 38.6% | 42.0% | 14.3% | — | 5.1% | 43.4% | 56.6% | |||
References
- ^ Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
- ^ "Hon Jenny Macklin MP". Senators and Members of the Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 3 November 2021.
- ^ Jagajaga, VIC, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.